Volvo electrification plan signals end of an era
Skip to main content
Sister Publication Links
  • Automotive News Canada
  • Automotive News Europe
  • Automotive News China
  • Automobilwoche
AN-LOGO-BLUE
Subscribe
  • Subscribe
  • Account
  • login
  • HOME
  • NEWS
    • Dealers
    • Automakers & Suppliers
    • News by Brand
    • Cars & Concepts
    • Coronavirus Coverage
    • China
    • Shift
    • Mobility Report
    • Special Reports
    • Digital Edition Archive
    • This Week's Issue
    • CarMax
      CarMax plans bonuses for 22,000 employees to reward pandemic efforts
      COVID-19 vaccines reaching auto plants, but challenges remain
      Working online to book COVID shots, office manager Billie Jean Pellet “typed so fast smoke came off the keyboard,” said dealer Earl Stewart.
      Dealership team hunts for vaccine
      Hope stalls for rebound in European auto sales
    • Chinese tech companies are turning their sights on EVs
      Telecom firm ZTE preparing electric vehicle product line
      Changan
      Huawei, battered by U.S. sanctions, plans foray into EVs, report says
      VW China
      Top VW China exec said to eye joining Renault as local CEO
      Geely to create separate EV business unit
    • VW unit is pumping funds into mobile charging robot
      Companies work smarter, not harder, with logistics-focused robots
      Other industries combine for more bot orders than automakers, suppliers
      Gatik capitalizes on growing demand for shorter-distance deliveries
    • The Cruise AV autonomous vehicle, based on the Chevy Bolt
      GM-backed Cruise is in talks to buy startup Voyage, report says
      A worker fixes a power line in Austin, Texas, last month.
      Bidirectional EVs could lend a hand in power crisis
      Fisker's next wave: A premium people's car
      Toyota banks on plug-ins as rivals push BEVs
    • Elon Musk interview
      Tesla’s Model Y, on sale since March, is a showcase of EV technologies competitors will benchmark.
      Technologies of Electrification
      Cadillac’s Lyriq EV will be unveiled Aug. 6.
      Future Product Pipeline
      A CALL TO ACTION
    • COVID-19 vaccines reaching auto plants, but challenges remain
      Cars parked at a Ford dealership lot
      In SPACs, dealers see viable option to go public
      New-school solution for recruiting auto techs
      Is your dealership a great place to work?
    • Access F&I
    • Fixed Ops Journal
    • Marketing
    • Used Cars
    • Retail Technology
    • Sales
    • Best Practices
    • Dealership Buy/Sell
    • NADA
    • NADA Show
    • Automakers
    • Manufacturing
    • Suppliers
    • Regulations & Safety
    • Executives
    • Talk From The Top
    • Leading Women Network
    • Guide to Economic Development
    • PACE Awards
    • Management Briefing Seminars
    • World Congress
    • Aston Martin
    • BMW
      • Mini
      • Rolls-Royce
    • Daimler
      • Mercedes Benz
      • Smart
    • Ford
      • Lincoln
    • General Motors
      • Buick
      • Cadillac
      • Chevrolet
      • GMC
    • Honda
      • Acura
    • Hyundai
      • Genesis
      • Kia
    • Mazda
    • McLaren
    • Mitsubishi
    • Nissan
      • Infiniti
    • Stellantis
      • Alfa Romeo
      • Citroen
      • Chrysler
      • Dodge
      • Ferrari
      • Fiat
      • Jeep
      • Lancia
      • Maserati
      • Opel
      • Peugeot
      • Ram
      • Vauxhall
    • Renault
    • Subaru
    • Suzuki
    • Tata
      • Jaguar
      • Land Rover
    • Tesla
    • Toyota
      • Lexus
    • Volkswagen
      • Audi
      • Bentley
      • Bugatti
      • Lamborghini
      • Porsche
      • Seat
      • Skoda
    • Volvo
    • (Discontinued Brands)
    • Virtual reveals (Sponsored)
      • MITSUBISHI: 2022 Outlander
      • NISSAN: 2022 Pathfinder and 2022 Frontier
      • GENESIS: 2021 GV80
      • KIA: 2021 K5
      • LEXUS: 2021 IS
      • NISSAN: 2021 Rogue
      • TOYOTA: 2021 Venza and 2021 Sienna
    • Auto Shows
    • Future Product Pipeline
    • Photo Galleries
    • Car Cutaways
    • Design
  • OPINION
    • Blogs
    • Cartoons
    • Keith Crain
    • Automotive Views with Jason Stein
    • Columnists
    • China Commentary
    • Editorials
    • Letters to the Editor
    • Send us a Letter
    • The new Stellantis pickup: Schrödinger's Dakota
      Fisker gets a rare second chance to build his own car company
      Gerry McGovern is right man to steer Jaguar reinvention
      Forget the Ford GT; Moray Callum's biggest hit is the aluminum F-150
    • Jaguar is about to undergo its fourth reinvention in five decades as owner Tata Group takes a second crack at shaking up a brand whose glorious past has rarely translated into a profitable present or sustainable future.
      Jaguar Redo, Part IV
      view gallery
      1 photos
      Chip Shortage
      Jaguar is about to undergo its fourth reinvention in five decades as owner Tata Group takes a second crack at shaking up a brand whose glorious past has rarely translated into a profitable present or sustainable future.
      view gallery
      9 photos
      Leo Michael Cartoons - Q1 2021
      Dealers hiring from hospitality sector
      view gallery
      1 photos
      Hospitality Hires
    • Shifting gears away from the stick shift
      SEMA still a wonderful circus
      Penske still has plenty of races to win
      Ford's turn in the hot seat
    • March 2, 2021 | Will EV bets pay off?
      February 23, 2021 | Reliability continues to soar
      February 16, 2021 | Apple looks to take bite out of automotive
      February 9, 2021 | ‘Super’ opportunity for automakers
    • Reinvention of Jaguar is a tall task for McGovern
      Jamie Butters
      EV plans and some damn lies
      Mark Paul
      What dealers can do if D.C. power shift affects recalls
      Are we in the midst of a fourth industrial revolution?
    • Shanghai hints at how Chinese cities will pursue electrification
      How Tesla, GM transformed EV market in 2020
      Is sales recovery nearing an end?
      Beijing's uphill battle to boost EV sales
    • U.S. Dealership lot
      Lean lots won't last without new dealer discipline
      Taiwan Semicon microchips BB web.jpg
      Chip shortage shows need for new thinking
      Digital demands squeeze smaller auto retailers
      President Joe Biden’s move to electrify all government vehicles could push forward charging infrastructure development.
      Dealers aren't wrong to be wary of EV hype
    • Embrace EV ideas at our doorstep
      New look at Nissan a positive sign
      Buying EV without dealer is just easier
      Dealers are right to worry about EVs
  • DATA CENTER
  • VIDEO
    • AutoNews Now
    • First Shift
    • Special Video Reports
    • Weekend Drive
    • AutoNews Now: Chip woes persist: GM extending output cuts
      AutoNews Now: Toyota, Mazda, Subaru, Hyundai, Kia slide in Feb.; Volvo, Genesis rise
      AutoNews Now: Toyota RAV4 probed for fire risk
      AutoNews Now: Nissan 'breakthrough' could lower emissions
    • First Shift: Stellantis aims for higher profit margins in 2021
      First Shift: Volvo's electric push includes online-only sales
      First Shift: U.S. dealership profits surge 48% to record high
      First Shift: Tesla output in Calif. resumes after 2-day shutdown
    • Bert Ogden Auto Group
      Back to basics: How a Texas group is cutting costs, saving millions 
      COVID, chips and checks: Sales headwinds and tailwinds for 2021
      N.J. dealer helps position peers for ‘electric revolution’
      DCH Millburn Audi
      'Finding the diamond in the rough': How 2020's No. 1 dealership retains talent
    • Why the pickup is the auto industry's 'battleground'
      Carlos Ghosn's quest to restore his reputation
      Why Ford must execute to avoid 'deep trouble'
      Why Honda is 'locked and loaded' for 2020
  • EVENTS & AWARDS
    • Events
    • Awards
    • Congress Conversations
    • Retail Forum: NADA
    • Canada Congress
    • Europe Congress Conversations
    • Leading Women Conference
    • Fixed Ops Journal Forum
    • ANE Shift
    • Shift: Mobility at a Crossroads
    • Shift: The Future of Mobility (CES)
    • 100 Leading Women
    • 40 Under 40 Retail
    • All-Stars
    • Best Dealerships To Work For
    • PACE Program
    • Rising Stars
    • Europe Rising Stars
  • JOBS
  • AN Solutions
  • +MORE
    • Leading Women Network
    • Podcasts
    • Webinars
    • In the Driver's Seat
    • Publishing Partners
    • Classifieds
    • Companies on the Move
    • People on the Move
    • Newsletters
    • Contact Us
    • Media Kit
    • RSS Feeds
    • Shift: A Podcast About Mobility
    • Special Reports Podcasts
    • Daily Drive Podcasts
    • AAM
    • DealerPolicy
    • Gentex
    • Reputation.com
    • Ricardo
    • Ricardo
    • Allstate: Want more from your F&I?
    • Ally: Navigating the future of automotive retailing
    • Amazon Web Services: Any place, any time, any channel
    • Amazon Web Services: The power of the cloud
    • Amazon Web Services: Universal translator: Harnessing sensor data to build better automotive software
    • Epic Games: Transforming the auto industry with digital assets
    • FTI Consulting: Crisis as a catalyst for change
    • Google: 5 trends shaping the auto industry's approach to a new normal
    • IHS Markit: Automotive loyalty in the wake of the COVID-19 recession
    • IHS Markit: Autonomous vehicles: Automotive and transportation disruption
    • IHS Markit: COVID-19: The future mobility delusion
    • Level5: 2020 Automotive E-Commerce Report
    • Naked Lime: Bring social reputation together as part of big-picture marketing
    • Wells Fargo Auto: Switching gears from LIBOR to SOFR
    • Ally: Do It Right
    • DealerSocket
    • Deloitte: Cyber everywhere: Preparing for automotive safety in the face of cyber threats
    • Facebook: The road to a zero-friction future
    • Guide To Economic Development
    • PayPal Credit: How consumer financing helps drive sales for online auto parts retailers
MENU
Breadcrumb
  1. Home
  2. Mobility Report
July 10, 2017 01:00 AM

Who's killing the gasoline car?

At Volvo, combustion-only days are numbered

Nick Gibbs
  • Tweet
  • Share
  • Share
  • Email
  • More
    Print
    Volvo's future hybrid/EV lineup will follow the XC90 hybrid's footsteps.

    In a week that could have been dominated with news about Tesla's Model 3 introduction, Volvo stole the electric carmaker's thunder by announcing it will fit every new model launched with an electric motor, starting in 2019.

    The announcement came a day before France said it would ban gasoline engines in new cars starting in 2040, and generated enormous press coverage.

    "It's a great PR coup and quite clever from Volvo," said Tim Urquhart, principal analyst at IHS Markit. "It was half a PR exercise and half quite an impressive statement of intent."

    The Swedish company boldly claimed that its new strategy heralded "a new chapter in automotive history" after more than a century of domination by the internal combustion engine.

    Samuelsson: "We need to take serious action."

    "This announcement marks the end of the solely combustion engine-powered car," said Volvo CEO Hakan Samuelsson in a statement.

    The company will split its offerings between pure electric vehicles, plug-in hybrids and mild hybrids, which use a beefed-up starter motor to both capture lost energy and help the combustion engine with brief bursts of electric power.

    Volvo, which is owned by China's Zhejiang Geely Holding Group, will launch five fully electric models between 2019 and 2021 — three badged Volvos and two from its newly announced Polestar standalone premium brand.

    Volvo's new factory in Charleston, S.C., will be one of the production sites for the electric cars, Samuelsson said in a press conference last week. He gave no indication which model will be built in the plant, which comes on stream in 2018, or when, but he said that all the pure-electric Volvo cars will be built on the company's two existing platforms and will be built on production lines alongside standard variants.

    This strong focus on electrified models represents an about-face for Volvo, which had previously said pure electric cars didn't make a great business case. Volvo even said in its 2016 company report, published in March of this year, that market projections for EV ownership were "extremely uncertain" and that "battery costs need to drop significantly".

    But progress is happening that affects those calculations. Battery costs have dropped dramatically, and electric vehicles are predicted to cost the same as internal combustion engine cars in 2018, according to a study by investment firm UBS.

    And Toyota said last week that 40 percent of its European sales in the first half of this year were regular hybrids, the first time the it has reached that mark.

    "Things have changed and we can change our mind," Samuelsson said. "Battery costs have come down, and there is some movement on the charging infrastructure."

    He acknowledged the success of Tesla and declared that Volvo's announcement marked the moment that the company becomes "the second premium car maker in the world that is becoming all electric".

    "Tesla is a tough competitor we respect," he said.

    Volvo already builds plug-in hybrid versions of the XC90 large crossover and S90/V90 large cars — called Twin-Engine in Volvo's badging strategy — but those vehicles' penetration is very low. Just 2.4 percent of Volvo's 82,726 sales in the U.S. last year were hybrid models, according to figures from analyst and research firm AID. In Europe, Volvo's biggest market by far, its hybrid share was 4 percent of its 290,004 sales in 2016.

    Emissions standards

    Volvo said the decision to focus on electrification was made partly in response to ever-toughening legislation on carbon dioxide emissions in its three largest markets of Europe, the U.S. and China. Europe needs automakers to reach an average of 95 grams per kilometer of carbon dioxide by 2021, equivalent to 57 mpg. China requires an equivalent of 47 mpg by 2020 and the U.S. Corporate Average Fuel Economy standards mandate a 54.4 mpg average by 2025.

    "That is one of the main reasons we're doing this," Samuelsson said.

    Volvo would struggle to meet increasingly tough targets without electrification for its range of mostly larger cars, according to IHS analyst Urquhart.

    "They've looked at the targets, and thought, we need to take serious action," he said.

    Volvo is particularly vulnerable from the recent rapid decline in diesel sales in Europe, said Matthias Schmidt, automotive market analyst for AID.

    Diesel cars produce around 15 to 20 percent less CO2 than gasoline models, but the backlash against the fuel after the Volkswagen emissions scandal has turned consumers back toward higher-CO2 gasoline engines.

    "Diesel was their main weapon of choice to hit these regulations. Now they have to come up with a plan B," Schmidt said.

    Volvo sales were 83 percent diesel in 2016 across Europe, according to AID data, compared with 73 percent for luxury rival BMW, 70 percent for Mercedes and 68 percent for Audi. Only Land Rover and Jaguar had a higher diesel share at 96 percent and 84 percent respectively.

    "Don't be surprised to hear a similar announcement to Volvo's coming from JLR," Schmidt said.

    German diesel sales were down to 39 percent in June this year, from close to half in 2015, figures from Germany's KBA motor transportation authority show.

    Volvo won't develop another new diesel engine again, Samuelsson said last week.

    The luxury makers are all pursuing aggressive electric strategies. Audi has said it will launch three all-electric cars by 2020, with the first, the e-tron Sportback, arriving next year. VW Group has said a third of all its sales will be either partially or fully electric by 2025. Mercedes said it will start selling 10 new electric cars by 2022, starting in 2019. JLR will launch its first electric car, the Jaguar I-Pace, at the Frankfurt auto show in September.

    Mostly mild hybrids

    Many of the headlines about Volvo's plan mistakenly made it seem like Volvo was moving toward a pure-electric strategy, such as Tesla. But Samuelsson said he expects sales will be split between fully electric vehicles, plug-in hybrids and mild hybrids. The bulk of sales will be mild-hybrid cars, he said.

    The mild-hybrid system will use a 48-volt starter-generator that makes a standard combustion engine more efficient by storing energy lost to braking in a battery and returning that to boost engine power at certain times. It can't run on pure electric power alone. Supplier Continental predicts 4 million vehicles will be produced worldwide with mild-hybrid systems in 2020.

    Mild hybrids are the "next generation of personal mobility" and offer a stepping stone on the way to EVs, said Christoph Stuermer, global lead analyst at PwC's Autofacts unit.

    Mated to Volvo's forthcoming three-cylinder gasoline, the mild-hybrid system will create "a cost-efficient and a very attractive alternative to a diesel engine," Samuelsson said at the press conference.

    Volvo will be looking to source parts for its new electrified systems at a local level, including the U.S. and China, Henrik Green, Volvo's head of r&d, said at the press conference.

    Green admitted that it could be still selling cars without electric motors up to 2025, when model cycles of cars launched before 2019 might finally end.

    RECOMMENDED FOR YOU
    GM-backed Cruise is in talks to buy startup Voyage, report says
    Related Articles
    Magna eyes opportunities in Volvo's electric future
    Volvo's very huge decision
    Letter
    to the
    Editor

     

     

    Send us a letter

    Have an opinion about this story? Click here to submit a Letter to the Editor, and we may publish it in print.

    Recommended for You
    GM-backed Cruise is in talks to buy startup Voyage, report says
    GM-backed Cruise is in talks to buy startup Voyage, report says
    Fisker's next wave: A premium people's car
    Fisker's next wave: A premium people's car
    Bidirectional EVs could lend a hand in power crisis
    Bidirectional EVs could lend a hand in power crisis
    Sponsored Content: A Guide to Testing and Approval of Radio Modules
    Sign up for free newsletters
    EMAIL ADDRESS

    Please enter a valid email address.

    Please enter your email address.

    Please verify captcha.

    Please select at least one newsletter to subscribe.

    See more newsletter options at autonews.com/newsletters.

    You can unsubscribe at any time through links in these emails. For more information, see our Privacy Policy.

    Digital Edition
    Automotive News 3-1-21
    THIS WEEK'S EDITION
    See our archive
    Fixed Ops Journal
    Fixed Ops Journal 2-8-21
    Read the issue
    See our archive
    MOBILITY REPORT NEWSLETTER: Sign up for our Thursday afternoon Mobility Report newsletter, your one-stop shop for the latest developments at the intersection of transportation and technology.
    WEEKLY NEWSLETTER: Sign up to start your week with the top stories from the latest issue of Automotive News, delivered to your inbox first thing each Monday morning.
    DAILY NEWSLETTER: Sign up to get the top stories of the day in your inbox every business weekday afternoon.
    Get Free Newsletters

    Sign up and get the best of Automotive News delivered straight to your email inbox, free of charge. Choose your news – we will deliver.

    Subscribe Today

    Get 24/7 access to in-depth, authoritative coverage of the auto industry from a global team of reporters and editors covering the news that’s vital to your business.

    Subscribe Now
    Connect With Us
    • Facebook
    • Instagram
    • LinkedIn
    • Twitter

    Our mission

    The Automotive News mission is to be the primary source of industry news, data and understanding for the industry's decision-makers interested in North America.

    AN-LOGO-BLUE
    Contact Us

    1155 Gratiot Avenue
    Detroit, Michigan
    48207-2997

    (877) 812-1584

    Email us

    Automotive News
    ISSN 0005-1551 (print)
    ISSN 1557-7686 (online)

    Fixed Ops Journal
    ISSN 2576-1064 (print)
    ISSN 2576-1072 (online)

    Resources
    • About us
    • Contact Us
    • Media Kit
    • Subscribe
    • Manage your account
    • Reprints
    • Ad Choices Ad Choices
    • Sitemap
    Legal
    • Terms and Conditions
    • Privacy Policy
    • Privacy Request
    Automotive News
    Copyright © 1996-2021. Crain Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
    • HOME
    • NEWS
      • Dealers
        • Access F&I
        • Fixed Ops Journal
        • Marketing
        • Used Cars
        • Retail Technology
        • Sales
        • Best Practices
        • Dealership Buy/Sell
        • NADA
        • NADA Show
      • Automakers & Suppliers
        • Automakers
        • Manufacturing
        • Suppliers
        • Regulations & Safety
        • Executives
        • Talk From The Top
        • Leading Women Network
        • Guide to Economic Development
        • PACE Awards
        • Management Briefing Seminars
        • World Congress
      • News by Brand
        • Aston Martin
        • BMW
          • Mini
          • Rolls-Royce
        • Daimler
          • Mercedes Benz
          • Smart
        • Ford
          • Lincoln
        • General Motors
          • Buick
          • Cadillac
          • Chevrolet
          • GMC
        • Honda
          • Acura
        • Hyundai
          • Genesis
          • Kia
        • Mazda
        • McLaren
        • Mitsubishi
        • Nissan
          • Infiniti
        • Stellantis
          • Alfa Romeo
          • Citroen
          • Chrysler
          • Dodge
          • Ferrari
          • Fiat
          • Jeep
          • Lancia
          • Maserati
          • Opel
          • Peugeot
          • Ram
          • Vauxhall
        • Renault
        • Subaru
        • Suzuki
        • Tata
          • Jaguar
          • Land Rover
        • Tesla
        • Toyota
          • Lexus
        • Volkswagen
          • Audi
          • Bentley
          • Bugatti
          • Lamborghini
          • Porsche
          • Seat
          • Skoda
        • Volvo
        • (Discontinued Brands)
      • Cars & Concepts
        • Virtual reveals (Sponsored)
          • MITSUBISHI: 2022 Outlander
          • NISSAN: 2022 Pathfinder and 2022 Frontier
          • GENESIS: 2021 GV80
          • KIA: 2021 K5
          • LEXUS: 2021 IS
          • NISSAN: 2021 Rogue
          • TOYOTA: 2021 Venza and 2021 Sienna
        • Auto Shows
        • Future Product Pipeline
        • Photo Galleries
        • Car Cutaways
        • Design
      • Coronavirus Coverage
      • China
      • Shift
      • Mobility Report
      • Special Reports
      • Digital Edition Archive
      • This Week's Issue
    • OPINION
      • Blogs
      • Cartoons
      • Keith Crain
      • Automotive Views with Jason Stein
      • Columnists
      • China Commentary
      • Editorials
      • Letters to the Editor
      • Send us a Letter
    • DATA CENTER
    • VIDEO
      • AutoNews Now
      • First Shift
      • Special Video Reports
      • Weekend Drive
    • EVENTS & AWARDS
      • Events
        • Congress Conversations
        • Retail Forum: NADA
        • Canada Congress
        • Europe Congress Conversations
        • Leading Women Conference
        • Fixed Ops Journal Forum
        • ANE Shift
        • Shift: Mobility at a Crossroads
        • Shift: The Future of Mobility (CES)
      • Awards
        • 100 Leading Women
        • 40 Under 40 Retail
        • All-Stars
        • Best Dealerships To Work For
        • PACE Program
        • Rising Stars
        • Europe Rising Stars
    • JOBS
    • AN Solutions
    • +MORE
      • Leading Women Network
      • Podcasts
        • Shift: A Podcast About Mobility
        • Special Reports Podcasts
        • Daily Drive Podcasts
      • Webinars
      • In the Driver's Seat
        • AAM
        • DealerPolicy
        • Gentex
        • Reputation.com
        • Ricardo
        • Ricardo
      • Publishing Partners
        • Allstate: Want more from your F&I?
        • Ally: Navigating the future of automotive retailing
        • Amazon Web Services: Any place, any time, any channel
        • Amazon Web Services: The power of the cloud
        • Amazon Web Services: Universal translator: Harnessing sensor data to build better automotive software
        • Epic Games: Transforming the auto industry with digital assets
        • FTI Consulting: Crisis as a catalyst for change
        • Google: 5 trends shaping the auto industry's approach to a new normal
        • IHS Markit: Automotive loyalty in the wake of the COVID-19 recession
        • IHS Markit: Autonomous vehicles: Automotive and transportation disruption
        • IHS Markit: COVID-19: The future mobility delusion
        • Level5: 2020 Automotive E-Commerce Report
        • Naked Lime: Bring social reputation together as part of big-picture marketing
        • Wells Fargo Auto: Switching gears from LIBOR to SOFR
        • Ally: Do It Right
        • DealerSocket
        • Deloitte: Cyber everywhere: Preparing for automotive safety in the face of cyber threats
        • Facebook: The road to a zero-friction future
        • Guide To Economic Development
        • PayPal Credit: How consumer financing helps drive sales for online auto parts retailers
      • Classifieds
      • Companies on the Move
      • People on the Move
      • Newsletters
      • Contact Us
      • Media Kit
      • RSS Feeds