Attendees at the Management Briefing Seminars were asked:
Will Chinese-made cars come to America and if so, when?
It will be at least another five years before we see Chinese cars. Theyre still improving their quality and it will take more time before theyre up to North American standards. And those wont be Chinese manufacturers -- theyll take even longer to get up to quality levels. The Japanese automakers are really leading the charge on Chinese quality because theyre more focused on building Chinese cars for export. I believe they will first export to other Asian markets to get up to speed. Ultimately, I really dont see China as a key export producer. I think it will just be a source for a few low-volume products.
President, ELM International Inc.
"They have announced they will be here in 2007, but its not that simple. Youve got to have all the logistics in order. You need dealerships and repair shops. If they do come then there will be a market, maybe from the groups of buyers now who need transportation but cant afford the existing cars and dont have access to mass transportation.
Wim van Acker
Managing partner of North American Operations, Roland Berger Strategy Consultants
Im not sure whether Chinese manufacturers are really investing money in sales channels. Sales channels are very important. Nonetheless, I think they may come, maybe within three years. The scale is the issue. It could be less than 1,000 within three years. But they cant start with 10,000 cars a year.
CEO, Denso International America Inc.
I think it will by 2008. Why not? The Japanese have come. The Koreans have come. Eventually the Chinese will come.
Principal, Lesinski & Associates
Yes, but not for awhile. Right now it is cheaper to manufacture overseas. But at some point there will be a breakpoint where it will even out. Then it will make sense for them to manufacture over here. Politically it will make sense too.
System engineer manager, Symbol Technologies