FINAL ASSEMBLY

When fuel prices rise, the party in power often runs out of gas

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Given the recent rise in fuel prices, does President Barack Obama have cause for concern in the coming election? Well, 71 percent of Americans says gasoline prices are an "extremely" or "very important" issue to them, up from 65 percent from only two months ago, according to GfK Roper.

History shows that when gasoline prices rise, the political party in power often takes a hit at election time. Whether that's direct cause-and-effect or just one of many interrelated factors is a matter for debate, speculation and partisan spin.

Price at the polls
 Gas price trend before election dayElection result
1980Soars 60% in previous 18 months to $1.26 per gallonReagan ousts incumbent Carter
1984Down 7% in Reagan's first term to $1.21; flat in 1984Reagan re-elected
1988Down 17% through second term to 96 centsReagan's VP Bush beats Dukakis
1992Rises 26% during Bush's term; up 8% to $1.15 in 1992Clinton ousts Bush
1996Rose from $1.13 in Jan. to $1.22 in OctoberClinton re-elected
2000Jumps 60% to $1.56 from Jan. 1999 to October 2000Bush beats Gore
2004Up 27% in 2004 to $2.03Bush re-elected
2008Soars from $1.82 in Jan. 2005 to $4.09 in July 2008; back to $3.17 in Oct.Obama beats McCain
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration

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