Analyst sees another quarter, another output gain

Jeff Schuster, executive director of automotive forecasting at J.D. Power and Associates, along with other analysts, is predicting steady gains for the industry this year.

Specifically, he told the Society of Automotive Analysts recently that almost every quarter's light-vehicle production in North America in 2011 will be better than the year-earlier level. Here are his numbers:

Production, in million units
But of course, there are winners and losers. Here are his production forecasts by maker. You can assume that production is linked to sales, though inventory changes and exports, particularly by the European makers, mean that it's not a one-to-one link.
North American production changes by maker in 2011
BMW47% Honda6%
Chrysler/Fiat14% Hyundai19%
Daimler14% Mazda16%
Ford5% Mitsubishi-11%
Subaru-2% Nissan/Renault-2%
GM2% Toyota6%
What do you think? Is he too optimistic, or too cautious?

ATTENTION COMMENTERS: Automotive News has monitored a significant increase in the number of personal attacks and abusive comments on our site. We encourage our readers to voice their opinions and argue their points. We expect disagreement. We do not expect our readers to turn on each other. We will be aggressively deleting all comments that personally attack another poster, or an article author, even if the comment is otherwise a well-argued observation. If we see repeated behavior, we will ban the commenter. Please help us maintain a civil level of discourse.

Email Newsletters
  • General newsletters
  • (Weekdays)
  • (Mondays)
  • (As needed)
  • Video newscasts
  • (Weekdays)
  • (Weekdays)
  • (Saturdays)
  • Special interest newsletters
  • (Thursdays)
  • (Tuesdays)
  • (Monthly)
  • (Monthly)
  • (Wednesdays)
  • (Bimonthly)
  • Special reports
  • (As needed)
  • (As needed)
  • Communication preferences
  • You can unsubscribe at any time through links in these emails. For more information, see our Privacy Policy.